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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Frosinone vs Lecce — odds movement

Oct 29, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Frosinone opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-146) and drifted to 1.70 (-142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Frosinone 57% → 57%, draw 23% → 23%, Lecce 20% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Frosinone -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Frosinone1.68 (-146)1.70 (-142)
Draw4.20 (+320)4.31 (+331)
Lecce4.90 (+390)4.71 (+371)
Asian handicapFrosinone -0.75 · 1.87 (-115)Frosinone -0.75 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%48%65%Frosinone 57%Draw 23%Lecce 21%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).