Scan with your phone camera Pafos vs Riga FC — odds movement
Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 200 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 200 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 55 min before kickoff. Pafos opened as the favorite at 1.58 (-171) and drifted to 1.80 (-125). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pafos 60% → 53%, draw 23% → 26%, Riga FC 17% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Pafos -1 to Pafos -0.75. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Pafos went from 60% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Pafos | 1.58 (-171) | 1.80 (-125) |
| Draw | 4.16 (+316) | 3.74 (+274) |
| Riga FC | 5.61 (+461) | 4.57 (+357) |
| Asian handicap | Pafos -1 · 2.02 (+102) | Pafos -0.75 · 2.07 (+107) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.94 (-106) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-117) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).