Scan with your phone camera Ajax vs Atalanta — odds movement
Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 422 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 422 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Ajax opened as the favorite at 2.07 (+107) and drifted to 2.09 (+109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ajax 46% → 46%, draw 25% → 25%, Atalanta 29% → 29%. The Asian handicap held at Ajax -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 10 min before kickoff: Ajax went from 45% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Latest | |
| Ajax | 2.07 (+107) | 2.09 (+109) |
| Draw | 3.72 (+272) | 3.88 (+288) |
| Atalanta | 3.27 (+227) | 3.29 (+229) |
| Asian handicap | Ajax -0.25 · 1.82 (-122) | Ajax -0.25 · 1.85 (-118) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101) | O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).