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Jablonec vs Brighton — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 452 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 452 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Brighton opened as the favorite at 1.29 (-340) and shortened to 1.17 (-578). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Jablonec 11% → 6%, draw 17% → 12%, Brighton 72% → 81%. The Asian handicap moved from Jablonec +1.75 to Jablonec +2. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 29 h 25 min before kickoff: Brighton went from 71% to 73% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Jablonec8.57 (+757)14.89 (+1389)
Draw5.55 (+455)7.81 (+681)
Brighton1.29 (-340)1.17 (-578)
Asian handicapJablonec +1.75 · 1.83 (-121)Jablonec +2 · 2.04 (+104)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 3.25 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%27%61%95%Jablonec 6%Draw 12%Brighton 81%
Asian handicap · Jablonec
+1.5+1.75+2+1.75 → +2
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).