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Monaco vs Freiburg — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 569 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 569 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Monaco opened as the favorite at 2.25 (+125) and shortened to 2.14 (+114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monaco 42% → 45%, draw 26% → 27%, Freiburg 31% → 28%. The Asian handicap held at Monaco -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 19 h 25 min before kickoff: Monaco went from 42% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Monaco2.25 (+125)2.14 (+114)
Draw3.58 (+258)3.60 (+260)
Freiburg3.01 (+201)3.41 (+241)
Asian handicapMonaco -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)Monaco -0.25 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%32%40%49%Monaco 45%Draw 27%Freiburg 28%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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