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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Houston Dynamo opened as the favorite at 2.12 (+112) and drifted to 2.27 (+127). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Houston Dynamo 45% → 43%, draw 26% → 26%, Minnesota United 29% → 31%. The Asian handicap held at Houston Dynamo -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Houston Dynamo2.12 (+112)2.27 (+127)
Draw3.66 (+266)3.69 (+269)
Minnesota United3.28 (+228)3.10 (+210)
Asian handicapHouston Dynamo -0.25 · 1.85 (-117)Houston Dynamo -0.25 · 1.98 (-102)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 3 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%31%40%48%Houston Dynamo 43%Draw 26%Minnesota United 31%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).