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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Toronto FC vs D.C. United — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Toronto FC opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and shortened to 1.93 (-108). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto FC 49% → 50%, draw 24% → 24%, D.C. United 27% → 25%. The Asian handicap held at Toronto FC -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 37 h 40 min before kickoff: Toronto FC went from 50% to 47% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Toronto FC1.93 (-107)1.93 (-108)
Draw3.92 (+292)3.96 (+296)
D.C. United3.57 (+257)3.80 (+280)
Asian handicapToronto FC -0.5 · 1.94 (-106)Toronto FC -0.5 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 3 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%31%43%55%Toronto FC 50%Draw 24%D.C. United 25%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).