Scan with your phone camera Al-Ahli vs Pakhtakor Tashkent — odds movement
Sep 14, 2026 · 6:15 PM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Ahli opened as the favorite at 1.21 (-472) and drifted to 1.26 (-388). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al-Ahli 78% → 75%, draw 13% → 15%, Pakhtakor Tashkent 9% → 10%. The Asian handicap moved from Al-Ahli -2 to Al-Ahli -1.75. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 2 h 15 min before kickoff: Al-Ahli went from 77% to 79% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Al-Ahli | 1.21 (-472) | 1.26 (-388) |
| Draw | 6.98 (+598) | 6.14 (+514) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 10.69 (+969) | 9.51 (+851) |
| Asian handicap | Al-Ahli -2 · 1.99 (-101) | Al-Ahli -1.75 · 1.96 (-104) |
| Total | O/U 3.5 · over 1.99 (-101) | O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).