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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Conference League Final

Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty — odds movement

Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 170 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 170 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 25 min before kickoff. Riga FC opened as the favorite at 1.94 (-106) and shortened to 1.86 (-116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Riga FC 49% → 52%, draw 28% → 27%, Kairat Almaty 23% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Riga FC -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Riga FC1.94 (-106)1.86 (-116)
Draw3.44 (+244)3.59 (+259)
Kairat Almaty4.16 (+316)4.44 (+344)
Asian handicapRiga FC -0.5 · 1.95 (-105)Riga FC -0.5 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.81 (-123)O/U 2.5 · over 2.06 (+106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
16%30%43%57%Riga FC 52%Draw 27%Kairat Almaty 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).