Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 383 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 383 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 32 h 10 min before kickoff. Monaco opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-213) and drifted to 1.53 (-190). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): CSKA Sofia 16% → 16%, draw 20% → 21%, Monaco 64% → 63%. The Asian handicap moved from CSKA Sofia +1.25 to CSKA Sofia +1. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Monaco went from 67% to 64% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
CSKA Sofia
5.89 (+489)
5.97 (+497)
Draw
4.70 (+370)
4.52 (+352)
Monaco
1.47 (-213)
1.53 (-190)
Asian handicap
CSKA Sofia +1.25 · 1.81 (-123)
CSKA Sofia +1 · 2.04 (+104)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.82 (-122)
O/U 3 · over 1.93 (-107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · CSKA Sofia
Total (over/under)
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