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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Conference League Final

Freiburg vs Jablonec — odds movement

Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 416 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 416 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 34 h 50 min before kickoff. Freiburg opened as the favorite at 1.30 (-329) and shortened to 1.29 (-344). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Freiburg 72% → 74%, draw 17% → 17%, Jablonec 11% → 9%. The Asian handicap held at Freiburg -1.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 5 min before kickoff: Freiburg went from 79% to 76% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Freiburg1.30 (-329)1.29 (-344)
Draw5.47 (+447)5.57 (+457)
Jablonec8.77 (+777)10.39 (+939)
Asian handicapFreiburg -1.75 · 1.98 (-102)Freiburg -1.75 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104)O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-6%27%60%92%Freiburg 74%Draw 17%Jablonec 9%
Asian handicap · Freiburg
-2-1.75-1.75 → -1.75
Total (over/under)
2.7533.253.25 → 2.75

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