Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 413 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 413 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 34 h 40 min before kickoff. Atalanta opened as the favorite at 1.37 (-268) and shortened to 1.35 (-282). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atalanta 68% → 71%, draw 19% → 18%, Pafos 12% → 11%. The Asian handicap held at Atalanta -1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Atalanta went from 72% to 70% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Atalanta
1.37 (-268)
1.35 (-282)
Draw
4.87 (+387)
5.34 (+434)
Pafos
7.69 (+669)
8.37 (+737)
Asian handicap
Atalanta -1.5 · 1.97 (-103)
Atalanta -1.5 · 1.96 (-104)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Atalanta
Total (over/under)
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