Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 200 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 200 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 55 min before kickoff. FC Twente opened as the favorite at 1.21 (-467) and shortened to 1.16 (-640). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Twente 78% → 83%, draw 13% → 11%, Thun 9% → 7%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Twente -2 to FC Twente -2.25. The total moved up from 3.5 to 4.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
FC Twente
1.21 (-467)
1.16 (-640)
Draw
7.02 (+602)
9.05 (+805)
Thun
11.14 (+1014)
13.93 (+1293)
Asian handicap
FC Twente -2 · 1.96 (-104)
FC Twente -2.25 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 4 · over 1.87 (-115)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · FC Twente
Total (over/under)
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