Scan with your phone camera Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders — odds movement
Sep 30, 2026 · 7:37 PM ET · 250 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 250 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 60 min before puck drop. Toronto Maple Leafs opened as the favorite at 1.84 (-119) and shortened to 1.69 (-144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto Maple Leafs 53% → 58%, New York Islanders 47% → 42%. The puck line held at Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6. The sharpest single move came 10 minutes before puck drop: Toronto Maple Leafs went from 56% to 58% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.84 (-119) | 1.69 (-144) |
| New York Islanders | 2.06 (+106) | 2.30 (+130) |
| puck line | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 · 3.09 (+209) | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 · 2.82 (+182) |
| Total | O/U 6 · over 1.94 (-106) | O/U 6 · over 1.91 (-110) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).