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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames — odds movement

Oct 4, 2026 · 8:07 PM ET · 179 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 179 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 60 min before puck drop. Seattle Kraken opened as the favorite at 1.67 (-150) and shortened to 1.64 (-157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Kraken 58% → 60%, Calgary Flames 42% → 40%. The puck line held at Seattle Kraken -1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Kraken1.67 (-150)1.64 (-157)
Calgary Flames2.32 (+132)2.41 (+141)
puck lineSeattle Kraken -1.5 · 2.72 (+172)Seattle Kraken -1.5 · 2.67 (+167)
TotalO/U 5.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 6 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
37%46%54%63%Seattle Kraken 60%Calgary Flames 40%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
5.565.5 → 6

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