Scan with your phone camera Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs — odds movement
Oct 8, 2026 · 10:07 PM ET · 304 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 304 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 25 h 30 min before puck drop. Vegas Golden Knights opened as the favorite at 1.62 (-161) and shortened to 1.61 (-164). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vegas Golden Knights 60% → 61%, Toronto Maple Leafs 40% → 39%. The puck line held at Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 1.62 (-161) | 1.61 (-164) |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.42 (+142) | 2.48 (+148) |
| puck line | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 · 2.54 (+154) | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 · 2.51 (+151) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.84 (-119) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).