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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Atalanta vs Frosinone — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Atalanta opened as the favorite at 1.84 (-119) and drifted to 1.90 (-111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atalanta 53% → 51%, draw 23% → 23%, Frosinone 24% → 25%. The Asian handicap moved from Atalanta -0.75 to Atalanta -0.5. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atalanta1.84 (-119)1.90 (-111)
Draw4.20 (+320)4.15 (+315)
Frosinone3.95 (+295)3.82 (+282)
Asian handicapAtalanta -0.75 · 2.06 (+106)Atalanta -0.5 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 3.5 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%44%58%Atalanta 51%Draw 23%Frosinone 25%
Asian handicap · Atalanta
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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