Oct 25, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. AC Milan opened as the favorite at 1.67 (-149) and drifted to 1.80 (-125). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Udinese 18% → 20%, draw 24% → 26%, AC Milan 58% → 54%. The Asian handicap moved from Udinese +0.75 to Udinese +0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 31 h 5 min before kickoff: AC Milan went from 57% to 55% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Udinese
5.25 (+425)
4.79 (+379)
Draw
4.04 (+304)
3.73 (+273)
AC Milan
1.67 (-149)
1.80 (-125)
Asian handicap
Udinese +0.75 · 2.04 (+104)
Udinese +0.5 · 2.14 (+114)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Udinese
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.