Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior — odds movement
Oct 25, 2026 · 11:15 AM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Fortuna Sittard opened favored at 2.39 (+139), but by the last snapshot Excelsior was the favorite at 2.59 (+159). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fortuna Sittard 40% → 36%, draw 26% → 27%, Excelsior 34% → 37%. The Asian handicap moved from Fortuna Sittard -0.25 to Fortuna Sittard 0. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 40 min before kickoff: Excelsior went from 34% to 35% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Fortuna Sittard | 2.39 (+139) | 2.72 (+172) |
| Draw | 3.63 (+263) | 3.59 (+259) |
| Excelsior | 2.82 (+182) | 2.59 (+159) |
| Asian handicap | Fortuna Sittard -0.25 · 2.09 (+109) | Fortuna Sittard 0 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 1.96 (-104) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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