AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente — odds movement
Oct 25, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. AZ Alkmaar opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and drifted to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): AZ Alkmaar 44% → 44%, draw 24% → 24%, FC Twente 31% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at AZ Alkmaar -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 3 h 25 min before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.15 (+115) | 2.21 (+121) |
| Draw | 3.92 (+292) | 3.99 (+299) |
| FC Twente | 3.02 (+202) | 3.02 (+202) |
| Asian handicap | AZ Alkmaar -0.25 · 1.91 (-110) | AZ Alkmaar -0.25 · 1.95 (-105) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.86 (-116) | O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).