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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. NEC Nijmegen opened as the favorite at 2.24 (+124) and shortened to 2.22 (+122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): NEC Nijmegen 42% → 44%, draw 24% → 24%, Groningen 33% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at NEC Nijmegen -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
NEC Nijmegen2.24 (+124)2.22 (+122)
Draw3.95 (+295)3.99 (+299)
Groningen2.85 (+185)3.01 (+201)
Asian handicapNEC Nijmegen -0.25 · 1.99 (-101)NEC Nijmegen -0.25 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%29%38%47%NEC Nijmegen 44%Draw 24%Groningen 32%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).