Oct 24, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chapecoense 22% → 24%, draw 26% → 27%, Fluminense 52% → 50%. The Asian handicap held at Chapecoense +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before kickoff: Fluminense went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Chapecoense
4.32 (+332)
4.09 (+309)
Draw
3.67 (+267)
3.65 (+265)
Fluminense
1.83 (-120)
1.94 (-106)
Asian handicap
Chapecoense +0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
Chapecoense +0.5 · 1.94 (-106)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-113)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Chapecoense
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.