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Chapecoense vs Fluminense — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chapecoense 22% → 24%, draw 26% → 27%, Fluminense 52% → 50%. The Asian handicap held at Chapecoense +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before kickoff: Fluminense went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chapecoense4.32 (+332)4.09 (+309)
Draw3.67 (+267)3.65 (+265)
Fluminense1.83 (-120)1.94 (-106)
Asian handicapChapecoense +0.5 · 2.02 (+102)Chapecoense +0.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%30%45%61%Chapecoense 24%Draw 27%Fluminense 50%
Asian handicap · Chapecoense
+0.5+0.75+0.5 → +0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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