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Coritiba vs Gremio — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Coritiba opened as the favorite at 2.04 (+104) and drifted to 2.35 (+135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Coritiba 47% → 41%, draw 26% → 28%, Gremio 27% → 30%. The Asian handicap moved from Coritiba -0.5 to Coritiba -0.25. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 40 h 10 min before kickoff: Coritiba went from 47% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Coritiba2.04 (+104)2.35 (+135)
Draw3.61 (+261)3.40 (+240)
Gremio3.53 (+253)3.20 (+220)
Asian handicapCoritiba -0.5 · 2.05 (+105)Coritiba -0.25 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 2.5 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%32%41%50%Coritiba 41%Draw 28%Gremio 30%
Asian handicap · Coritiba
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).