Oct 27, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC · 620 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 620 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lazio opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and shortened to 2.07 (+107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sassuolo 30% → 26%, draw 28% → 27%, Lazio 43% → 47%. The Asian handicap held at Sassuolo +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sassuolo
3.22 (+222)
3.72 (+272)
Draw
3.45 (+245)
3.60 (+260)
Lazio
2.22 (+122)
2.07 (+107)
Asian handicap
Sassuolo +0.25 · 1.93 (-108)
Sassuolo +0.25 · 2.15 (+115)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
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