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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 12:07 AM UTC · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 41 h 15 min before kickoff. Chivas Guadalajara opened as the favorite at 1.41 (-243) and shortened to 1.36 (-275). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chivas Guadalajara 67% → 71%, draw 19% → 17%, Necaxa 14% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Chivas Guadalajara -1.25 to Chivas Guadalajara -1.5. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chivas Guadalajara1.41 (-243)1.36 (-275)
Draw5.09 (+409)5.64 (+464)
Necaxa6.57 (+557)7.82 (+682)
Asian handicapChivas Guadalajara -1.25 · 1.89 (-113)Chivas Guadalajara -1.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 3.5 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
2%28%55%82%Chivas Guadalajara 71%Draw 17%Necaxa 12%
Asian handicap · Chivas Guadalajara
-1.5-1.25-1.25 → -1.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).