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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Pachuca vs Cruz Azul — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Cruz Azul opened as the favorite at 2.26 (+126) and drifted to 2.28 (+128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pachuca 32% → 31%, draw 26% → 26%, Cruz Azul 42% → 42%. The Asian handicap held at Pachuca +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 13 h 50 min before kickoff: the draw went from 27% to 25% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Pachuca2.98 (+198)3.10 (+210)
Draw3.67 (+267)3.68 (+268)
Cruz Azul2.26 (+126)2.28 (+128)
Asian handicapPachuca +0.25 · 1.87 (-115)Pachuca +0.25 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.05 (+105)O/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%30%39%47%Pachuca 31%Draw 26%Cruz Azul 42%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).