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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Puebla vs Monterrey — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Monterrey opened as the favorite at 1.86 (-116) and shortened to 1.84 (-119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Puebla 24% → 23%, draw 25% → 25%, Monterrey 51% → 52%. The Asian handicap held at Puebla +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 11 h 50 min before kickoff: Monterrey went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Puebla4.03 (+303)4.20 (+320)
Draw3.75 (+275)3.93 (+293)
Monterrey1.86 (-116)1.84 (-119)
Asian handicapPuebla +0.5 · 1.99 (-101)Puebla +0.5 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%45%59%Puebla 23%Draw 25%Monterrey 52%
Asian handicap · Puebla
+0.5+0.75+0.5 → +0.5
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).