Viktoria Plzen vs Union Saint-Gilloise — odds movement
Sep 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 2.50 (+150) and drifted to 2.55 (+155). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Viktoria Plzen 35% → 36%, draw 26% → 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 38% → 38%. The Asian handicap held at Viktoria Plzen 0 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 14 h 20 min before kickoff: Viktoria Plzen went from 35% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Viktoria Plzen
2.69 (+169)
2.69 (+169)
Draw
3.61 (+261)
3.71 (+271)
Union Saint-Gilloise
2.50 (+150)
2.55 (+155)
Asian handicap
Viktoria Plzen 0 · 2.00 (+100)
Viktoria Plzen 0 · 2.00 (+100)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.99 (-101)
O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total (over/under)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.