Sep 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Besiktas opened as the favorite at 1.78 (-129) and shortened to 1.70 (-142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Besiktas 53% → 57%, draw 23% → 23%, Marseille 23% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Besiktas -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Besiktas
1.78 (-129)
1.70 (-142)
Draw
4.12 (+312)
4.27 (+327)
Marseille
4.05 (+305)
4.65 (+365)
Asian handicap
Besiktas -0.75 · 1.99 (-101)
Besiktas -0.75 · 1.90 (-111)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Besiktas
Total (over/under)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.