Sep 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Juventus opened as the favorite at 1.23 (-431) and shortened to 1.20 (-488). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Juventus 77% → 80%, draw 15% → 13%, NEC Nijmegen 8% → 7%. The Asian handicap moved from Juventus -1.75 to Juventus -2. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Juventus went from 83% to 80% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Juventus
1.23 (-431)
1.20 (-488)
Draw
6.28 (+528)
7.38 (+638)
NEC Nijmegen
11.76 (+1076)
12.91 (+1191)
Asian handicap
Juventus -1.75 · 1.82 (-122)
Juventus -2 · 1.98 (-102)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-107)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-118)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Juventus
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera