Sep 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Crystal Palace opened as the favorite at 1.40 (-251) and drifted to 1.45 (-222). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Crystal Palace 68% → 66%, draw 19% → 19%, Lech Poznan 13% → 15%. The Asian handicap held at Crystal Palace -1.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Crystal Palace went from 69% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Crystal Palace
1.40 (-251)
1.45 (-222)
Draw
4.98 (+398)
5.11 (+411)
Lech Poznan
7.07 (+607)
6.54 (+554)
Asian handicap
Crystal Palace -1.25 · 1.89 (-112)
Crystal Palace -1.25 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.05 (+105)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Crystal Palace
Total (over/under)
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