Sep 19, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 500 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 500 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Sparta Rotterdam opened as the favorite at 2.47 (+147) and shortened to 2.45 (+145). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sparta Rotterdam 39% → 39%, draw 26% → 25%, Heerenveen 36% → 36%. The Asian handicap held at Sparta Rotterdam 0 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sparta Rotterdam
2.47 (+147)
2.45 (+145)
Draw
3.71 (+271)
3.88 (+288)
Heerenveen
2.66 (+166)
2.72 (+172)
Asian handicap
Sparta Rotterdam 0 · 1.85 (-117)
Sparta Rotterdam 0 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.81 (-123)
O/U 3.5 · over 2.00 (+100)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.