Telstar vs ADO Den Haag — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Telstar opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and drifted to 2.17 (+117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Telstar 46% → 45%, draw 26% → 26%, ADO Den Haag 28% → 29%. The Asian handicap moved from Telstar -0.5 to Telstar -0.25. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 6 h 30 min before kickoff: Telstar went from 47% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Telstar | 2.05 (+105) | 2.17 (+117) |
| Draw | 3.71 (+271) | 3.66 (+266) |
| ADO Den Haag | 3.41 (+241) | 3.34 (+234) |
| Asian handicap | Telstar -0.5 · 2.06 (+106) | Telstar -0.25 · 1.89 (-112) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 1.86 (-116) | O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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