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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Telstar opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and drifted to 2.17 (+117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Telstar 46% → 45%, draw 26% → 26%, ADO Den Haag 28% → 29%. The Asian handicap moved from Telstar -0.5 to Telstar -0.25. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 6 h 30 min before kickoff: Telstar went from 47% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Telstar2.05 (+105)2.17 (+117)
Draw3.71 (+271)3.66 (+266)
ADO Den Haag3.41 (+241)3.34 (+234)
Asian handicapTelstar -0.5 · 2.06 (+106)Telstar -0.25 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%31%41%51%Telstar 45%Draw 26%ADO Den Haag 29%
Asian handicap · Telstar
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).