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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

FC Utrecht vs Willem II — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 10:15 AM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 5 min before kickoff. FC Utrecht opened as the favorite at 1.48 (-208) and drifted to 1.52 (-192). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Utrecht 64% → 63%, draw 20% → 20%, Willem II 16% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Utrecht -1.25 to FC Utrecht -1. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Utrecht1.48 (-208)1.52 (-192)
Draw4.72 (+372)4.75 (+375)
Willem II5.89 (+489)5.87 (+487)
Asian handicapFC Utrecht -1.25 · 2.04 (+104)FC Utrecht -1 · 1.83 (-120)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 3.25 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%51%73%FC Utrecht 63%Draw 20%Willem II 16%
Asian handicap · FC Utrecht
-1.25-1-1.25 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).