Oct 10, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Feyenoord opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and shortened to 1.75 (-133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Feyenoord 52% → 55%, draw 25% → 23%, AZ Alkmaar 23% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Feyenoord -0.5 to Feyenoord -0.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 40 min before kickoff: Feyenoord went from 53% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Feyenoord
1.83 (-120)
1.75 (-133)
Draw
3.73 (+273)
4.12 (+312)
AZ Alkmaar
4.19 (+319)
4.51 (+351)
Asian handicap
Feyenoord -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Feyenoord -0.75 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Feyenoord
Total (over/under)
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