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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Chicago Sky vs Washington Mystics — odds movement

Sep 17, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 540 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 540 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 47 h 15 min before tip-off. Washington Mystics opened as the favorite at 1.59 (-169) and drifted to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chicago Sky 40% → 46%, Washington Mystics 60% → 54%. The spread moved from Chicago Sky +3.5 to Chicago Sky +1.5. The total moved down from 167.5 to 166.5. The sharpest single move came 24 h 30 min before tip-off: Chicago Sky went from 40% to 47% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chicago Sky2.39 (+139)2.10 (+110)
Washington Mystics1.59 (-169)1.78 (-129)
spreadChicago Sky +3.5 · 1.92 (-109)Chicago Sky +1.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 167.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 166.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
36%45%55%64%Chicago Sky 46%Washington Mystics 54%
spread · Chicago Sky
+1.5+3.5+3.5 → +1.5
Total (over/under)
163163.5164164.5165165.5167.5 → 166.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).