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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 607 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 607 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 51 h 10 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Golden State Valkyries opened favored at 1.84 (-119), but by the last snapshot Atlanta Dream was the favorite at 1.83 (-120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 52% → 47%, Atlanta Dream 48% → 53%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -1 to Golden State Valkyries +1. The total moved up from 149.5 to 150.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 50 min before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Valkyries1.84 (-119)2.05 (+105)
Atlanta Dream1.98 (-102)1.83 (-120)
spreadGolden State Valkyries -1 · 1.91 (-110)Golden State Valkyries +1 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 149.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 150.5 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
46%49%51%54%Golden State Valkyries 47%Atlanta Dream 53%
spread · Golden State Valkyries
-1+1-1 → +1
Total (over/under)
149.5150.5149.5 → 150.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).