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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 413 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 413 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 34 h 45 min before tip-off. New York Liberty opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-157) and shortened to 1.58 (-173). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Liberty 58% → 61%, Atlanta Dream 42% → 39%. The spread moved from New York Liberty -3 to New York Liberty -4. The total moved down from 172.5 to 169.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New York Liberty1.64 (-157)1.58 (-173)
Atlanta Dream2.29 (+129)2.47 (+147)
spreadNew York Liberty -3 · 1.90 (-111)New York Liberty -4 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 172.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 169.5 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
35%45%55%65%New York Liberty 61%Atlanta Dream 39%
spread · New York Liberty
-4-3.5-3-3 → -4
Total (over/under)
169.5170170.5171172.5172.5 → 169.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).