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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 446 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 446 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 37 h 25 min before tip-off. Atlanta Dream opened and closed as the favorite at 1.57 (-175). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlanta Dream 61% → 61%, Golden State Valkyries 39% → 39%. The spread moved from Atlanta Dream -3.5 to Atlanta Dream -4. The total moved up from 151 to 153. The sharpest single move came 13 h 35 min before tip-off: Atlanta Dream went from 55% to 57% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlanta Dream1.57 (-175)1.57 (-175)
Golden State Valkyries2.43 (+143)2.48 (+148)
spreadAtlanta Dream -3.5 · 1.89 (-113)Atlanta Dream -4 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 151 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 153 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Atlanta Dream 61%Golden State Valkyries 39%
spread · Atlanta Dream
-4-3.5-2.5-2-3.5 → -4
Total (over/under)
151152153154151 → 153

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).