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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Oct 19, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 538 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 538 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 47 h 35 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.67 (-149) and drifted to 1.81 (-123). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 57% → 53%, Atlanta Dream 43% → 47%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -2.5 to Golden State Valkyries -1.5. The total moved up from 152.5 to 153.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 20 min before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 54% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Valkyries1.67 (-149)1.81 (-123)
Atlanta Dream2.22 (+122)2.05 (+105)
spreadGolden State Valkyries -2.5 · 1.90 (-111)Golden State Valkyries -1.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 152.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 153.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
40%47%53%60%Golden State Valkyries 53%Atlanta Dream 47%
spread · Golden State Valkyries
-2.5-2-1.5-2.5 → -1.5
Total (over/under)
151.5152.5153.5152.5 → 153.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).