Scan with your phone camera Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries — odds movement
Oct 9, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 432 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 432 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 36 h 45 min before tip-off. Las Vegas Aces opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-183) and shortened to 1.49 (-204). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Las Vegas Aces 62% → 65%, Golden State Valkyries 38% → 35%. The spread moved from Las Vegas Aces -4 to Las Vegas Aces -5. The total moved up from 156.5 to 157. The sharpest single move came 8 h 50 min before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 38% to 36% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.55 (-183) | 1.49 (-204) |
| Golden State Valkyries | 2.49 (+149) | 2.72 (+172) |
| spread | Las Vegas Aces -4 · 1.90 (-111) | Las Vegas Aces -5 · 1.93 (-107) |
| Total | O/U 156.5 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 157 · over 1.92 (-109) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).