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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun — odds movement

Sep 17, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 558 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 558 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 46 h 45 min before tip-off. Atlanta Dream opened as the favorite at 1.08 (-1256) and shortened to 1.06 (-1678). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlanta Dream 89% → 92%, Connecticut Sun 11% → 8%. The spread moved from Atlanta Dream -14.5 to Atlanta Dream -17. The total moved down from 169.5 to 168.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlanta Dream1.08 (-1256)1.06 (-1678)
Connecticut Sun8.96 (+796)11.95 (+1095)
spreadAtlanta Dream -14.5 · 1.91 (-110)Atlanta Dream -17 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 169.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 168.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%31%69%107%Atlanta Dream 92%Connecticut Sun 8%
spread · Atlanta Dream
-17-16-15-14.5-14.5 → -17
Total (over/under)
166.5167.5168168.5169169.5169.5 → 168.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).