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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces — odds movement

Sep 17, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 582 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 582 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 49 h 15 min before tip-off. Las Vegas Aces opened as the favorite at 1.23 (-437) and shortened to 1.20 (-496). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Storm 22% → 20%, Las Vegas Aces 78% → 80%. The spread moved from Seattle Storm +9.5 to Seattle Storm +11. The total moved up from 173.5 to 175. The sharpest single move came 34 h 15 min before tip-off: Seattle Storm went from 22% to 19% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Storm4.30 (+330)4.89 (+389)
Las Vegas Aces1.23 (-437)1.20 (-496)
spreadSeattle Storm +9.5 · 1.91 (-110)Seattle Storm +11 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 173.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 175 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%36%64%93%Seattle Storm 20%Las Vegas Aces 80%
spread · Seattle Storm
+9.5+10.5+11+9.5 → +11
Total (over/under)
172.5173.5175173.5 → 175

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).