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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Toronto Tempo vs Indiana Fever — odds movement

Sep 18, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 446 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 446 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 37 h 25 min before tip-off. Indiana Fever opened as the favorite at 1.13 (-791) and shortened to 1.08 (-1222). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto Tempo 15% → 10%, Indiana Fever 85% → 90%. The spread moved from Toronto Tempo +12.5 to Toronto Tempo +16. The total moved down from 188.5 to 187.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Toronto Tempo6.48 (+548)9.44 (+844)
Indiana Fever1.13 (-791)1.08 (-1222)
spreadToronto Tempo +12.5 · 1.90 (-111)Toronto Tempo +16 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 188.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 187.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-4%32%68%104%Toronto Tempo 10%Indiana Fever 90%
spread · Toronto Tempo
+12.5+13+14+15+15.5+16+12.5 → +16
Total (over/under)
187.5188.5188.5 → 187.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).