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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty — odds movement

Sep 18, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 446 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 446 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 37 h 25 min before tip-off. Minnesota Lynx opened as the favorite at 1.35 (-285) and drifted to 1.45 (-221). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota Lynx 71% → 66%, New York Liberty 29% → 34%. The spread moved from Minnesota Lynx -7 to Minnesota Lynx -5.5. The total stayed at 176.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 60 min before tip-off: Minnesota Lynx went from 71% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota Lynx1.35 (-285)1.45 (-221)
New York Liberty3.26 (+226)2.85 (+185)
spreadMinnesota Lynx -7 · 1.89 (-113)Minnesota Lynx -5.5 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 176.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 176.5 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%40%60%80%Minnesota Lynx 66%New York Liberty 34%
spread · Minnesota Lynx
-7.5-7-6.5-5.5-7 → -5.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (176.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).