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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire — odds movement

Sep 18, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 39 h 55 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.10 (-1040) and drifted to 1.13 (-796). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 88% → 86%, Portland Fire 12% → 14%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -13.5 to Golden State Valkyries -12.5. The total moved down from 161.5 to 160.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Valkyries1.10 (-1040)1.13 (-796)
Portland Fire7.85 (+685)6.89 (+589)
spreadGolden State Valkyries -13.5 · 1.89 (-113)Golden State Valkyries -12.5 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 161.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 160 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-1%33%67%101%Golden State Valkyries 86%Portland Fire 14%
spread · Golden State Valkyries
-13.5-13-12.5-13.5 → -12.5
Total (over/under)
159160160.5161161.5162161.5 → 160

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).