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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · 233 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 233 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 40 min before tip-off. Dallas Wings opened as the favorite at 1.27 (-368) and shortened to 1.21 (-478). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dallas Wings 75% → 80%, Phoenix Mercury 25% → 20%. The spread moved from Dallas Wings -8.5 to Dallas Wings -11. The total stayed at 172.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Dallas Wings1.27 (-368)1.21 (-478)
Phoenix Mercury3.84 (+284)4.77 (+377)
spreadDallas Wings -8.5 · 1.91 (-110)Dallas Wings -11 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 172.5 · over 1.82 (-122)O/U 172.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
9%36%64%91%Dallas Wings 80%Phoenix Mercury 20%
spread · Dallas Wings
-11-10.5-10-9.5-9-8.5-8.5 → -11
Total (over/under)
170.5171.5172.5174172.5 → 172.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).