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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Golden State Valkyries vs Seattle Storm — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · 208 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 208 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 35 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.12 (-821) and drifted to 1.16 (-625). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 86% → 83%, Seattle Storm 14% → 17%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -12.5 to Golden State Valkyries -12. The total stayed at 156.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Valkyries1.12 (-821)1.16 (-625)
Seattle Storm6.64 (+564)5.77 (+477)
spreadGolden State Valkyries -12.5 · 1.92 (-109)Golden State Valkyries -12 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 156.5 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 156.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-0%33%67%100%Golden State Valkyries 83%Seattle Storm 17%
spread · Golden State Valkyries
-13-12.5-12-12.5 → -12
Total (over/under)
156.5157157.5158156.5 → 156.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).