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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · 201 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 201 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 60 min before tip-off. Minnesota Lynx opened as the favorite at 1.05 (-1908) and shortened to 1.04 (-2288). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Connecticut Sun 8% → 6%, Minnesota Lynx 92% → 94%. The spread moved from Connecticut Sun +16.5 to Connecticut Sun +19. The total moved up from 167 to 168.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Connecticut Sun12.02 (+1102)15.02 (+1402)
Minnesota Lynx1.05 (-1908)1.04 (-2288)
spreadConnecticut Sun +16.5 · 1.91 (-110)Connecticut Sun +19 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 167 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 168 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-9%30%70%109%Connecticut Sun 6%Minnesota Lynx 94%
spread · Connecticut Sun
+16.5+17+17.5+18+18.5+19+16.5 → +19
Total (over/under)
165.5167168167 → 168

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).