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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · 155 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 155 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 10 min before tip-off. Las Vegas Aces opened as the favorite at 1.06 (-1560) and shortened to 1.06 (-1675). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Las Vegas Aces 91% → 92%, Seattle Storm 9% → 8%. The spread moved from Las Vegas Aces -15.5 to Las Vegas Aces -17. The total moved up from 176 to 177.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Las Vegas Aces1.06 (-1560)1.06 (-1675)
Seattle Storm10.43 (+943)11.93 (+1093)
spreadLas Vegas Aces -15.5 · 1.91 (-110)Las Vegas Aces -17 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 176 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 177 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%31%69%107%Las Vegas Aces 92%Seattle Storm 8%
spread · Las Vegas Aces
-17.5-17-16.5-16-15.5-15.5 → -17
Total (over/under)
176177176 → 177

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).